Journal article

Long-term decrease in Asian monsoon rainfall and abrupt climate change events over the past 6,700 years


Authors listYang, Bao; Qin, Chun; Braeuning, Achim; Osborn, Timothy J.; Trouet, Valerie; Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier; Esper, Jan; Schneider, Lea; Griessinger, Jussi; Buentgen, Ulf; Rossi, Sergio; Dong, Guanghui; Yan, Mi; Ning, Liang; Wang, Jianglin; Wang, Xiaofeng; Wang, Suming; Luterbacher, Juerg; Cook, Edward R.; Stenseth, Nils Chr

Publication year2021

JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Volume number118

Issue number30

ISSN0027-8424

eISSN1091-6490

Open access statusHybrid

DOI Linkhttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2102007118

PublisherNational Academy of Sciences


Abstract
Asian summer monsoon (ASM) variability and its long-term ecological and societal impacts extending back to Neolithic times are poorly understood due to a lack of high-resolution climate proxy data. Here, we present a precisely dated and well-calibrated treering stable isotope chronology from the Tibetan Plateau with 1- to 5-y resolution that reflects high- to low-frequency ASM variability from 4680 BCE to 2011 CE. Superimposed on a persistent drying trend since the mid-Holocene, a rapid decrease in moisture availability between similar to 2000 and similar to 1500 BCE caused a dry hydroclimatic regime from similar to 1675 to similar to 1185 BCE, with mean precipitation estimated at 42 +/- 4% and 5 +/- 2% lower than during themid-Holocene and the instrumental period, respectively. This second-millennium-BCE megadrought marks the mid-to late Holocene transition, during which regional forests declined and enhanced aeolian activity affected northern Chinese ecosystems. We argue that this abrupt aridification starting similar to 2000 BCE contributed to the shift of Neolithic cultures in northern China and likely triggered human migration and societal transformation.



Citation Styles

Harvard Citation styleYang, B., Qin, C., Braeuning, A., Osborn, T., Trouet, V., Ljungqvist, F., et al. (2021) Long-term decrease in Asian monsoon rainfall and abrupt climate change events over the past 6,700 years, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(30), Article e2102007118. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2102007118

APA Citation styleYang, B., Qin, C., Braeuning, A., Osborn, T., Trouet, V., Ljungqvist, F., Esper, J., Schneider, L., Griessinger, J., Buentgen, U., Rossi, S., Dong, G., Yan, M., Ning, L., Wang, J., Wang, X., Wang, S., Luterbacher, J., Cook, E., ...Stenseth, N. (2021). Long-term decrease in Asian monsoon rainfall and abrupt climate change events over the past 6,700 years. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 118(30), Article e2102007118. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2102007118



Keywords


ANNUAL PRECIPITATIONARCHAEOLOGICAL SITESAsian summer monsoonCAL YR BPCULTURAL-EVOLUTIONICE-AGELAST GLACIAL MAXIMUMmegadroughtNORTHERN CHINAQINGHAI PROVINCETIBETAN PLATEAUTree ringsTREE-RING WIDTH


SDG Areas


Last updated on 2025-10-06 at 11:29