Journalartikel

Maximization of Open Hospital Capacity under Shortage of SARS-CoV-2 Vaccines-An Open Access, Stochastic Simulation Tool


AutorenlisteBosbach, Wolfram A.; Heinrich, Martin; Kolisch, Rainer; Heiss, Christian

Jahr der Veröffentlichung2021

ZeitschriftVaccines

Bandnummer9

Heftnummer6

eISSN2076-393X

Open Access StatusGold

DOI Linkhttps://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines9060546

VerlagMDPI


Abstract
Motive. The Covid-19 pandemic has led to the novel situation that hospitals must prioritize staff for a vaccine rollout while there is acute shortage of the vaccine. In spite of the availability of guidelines from state agencies, there is partial confusion about what an optimal rollout plan is. This study investigates effects in a hospital model under different rollout schemes. Methods. A simulation model is implemented in VBA, and is studied for parameter variation in a predefined hospital setting. The implemented code is available as open access supplement. Main results. A rollout scheme assigning vaccine doses to staff primarily by staff's pathogen exposure maximizes the predicted open hospital capacity when compared to a rollout based on a purely hierarchical prioritization. The effect increases under resource scarcity and greater disease activity. Nursing staff benefits most from an exposure focused rollout. Conclusions. The model employs SARS-CoV-2 parameters; nonetheless, effects observable in the model are transferable to other infectious diseases. Necessary future prioritization plans need to consider pathogen characteristics and social factors.



Zitierstile

Harvard-ZitierstilBosbach, W., Heinrich, M., Kolisch, R. and Heiss, C. (2021) Maximization of Open Hospital Capacity under Shortage of SARS-CoV-2 Vaccines-An Open Access, Stochastic Simulation Tool, Vaccines, 9(6), Article 546. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines9060546

APA-ZitierstilBosbach, W., Heinrich, M., Kolisch, R., & Heiss, C. (2021). Maximization of Open Hospital Capacity under Shortage of SARS-CoV-2 Vaccines-An Open Access, Stochastic Simulation Tool. Vaccines. 9(6), Article 546. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines9060546



Schlagwörter


FACILITIESHEALTH-CARE WORKERShospital managementhospital vaccine rolloutSARS-CoV-2 vaccine shortageUNITED-STATESVACCINATION POLICIES


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Zuletzt aktualisiert 2025-10-06 um 11:27