Journal article

Narrowing uncertainties in the effects of elevated CO2 on crops


Authors listToreti, Andrea; Deryng, Delphine; Tubiello, Francesco N.; Muller, Christoph; Kimball, Bruce A.; Moser, Gerald; Boote, Kenneth; Asseng, Senthold; Pugh, Thomas A. M.; Vanuytrecht, Eline; Pleijel, Hakan; Webber, Heidi; Durand, Jean-Louis; Dentener, Frank; Ceglar, Andrej; Wang, Xuhui; Badeck, Franz; Lecerf, Remi; Wall, Gerard W.; van den Berg, Maurits; Hoegy, Petra; Lopez-Lozano, Raul; Zampieri, Matteo; Galmarini, Stefano; O'Leary, Garry J.; Manderscheid, Remy; Mencos Contreras, Erik; Rosenzweig, Cynthia

Publication year2020

Pages775-782

JournalNature Food

Volume number1

Issue number12

eISSN2662-1355

DOI Linkhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-020-00195-4

PublisherNature Research


Abstract

Plant responses to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations, together with projected variations in temperature and precipitation will determine future agricultural production. Estimates of the impacts of climate change on agriculture provide essential information to design effective adaptation strategies, and develop sustainable food systems. Here, we review the current experimental evidence and crop models on the effects of elevated CO2 concentrations. Recent concerted efforts have narrowed the uncertainties in CO2-induced crop responses so that climate change impact simulations omitting CO2 can now be eliminated. To address remaining knowledge gaps and uncertainties in estimating the effects of elevated CO2 and climate change on crops, future research should expand experiments on more crop species under a wider range of growing conditions, improve the representation of responses to climate extremes in crop models, and simulate additional crop physiological processes related to nutritional quality.

Understanding of the effects of elevated CO2 on crops has improved sufficiently that modelling future climatic effects on agriculture should eliminate 'no CO2' simulations. Further advancement in the estimation of the effects can be realized by studying a wider variety of crop species under a wider range of growing conditions, improving the representation of responses to climate extremes in crop models and simulating additional crop physiological processes related to nutritional quality.




Citation Styles

Harvard Citation styleToreti, A., Deryng, D., Tubiello, F., Muller, C., Kimball, B., Moser, G., et al. (2020) Narrowing uncertainties in the effects of elevated CO2 on crops, Nature Food, 1(12), pp. 775-782. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-020-00195-4

APA Citation styleToreti, A., Deryng, D., Tubiello, F., Muller, C., Kimball, B., Moser, G., Boote, K., Asseng, S., Pugh, T., Vanuytrecht, E., Pleijel, H., Webber, H., Durand, J., Dentener, F., Ceglar, A., Wang, X., Badeck, F., Lecerf, R., Wall, G., ...Rosenzweig, C. (2020). Narrowing uncertainties in the effects of elevated CO2 on crops. Nature Food. 1(12), 775-782. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-020-00195-4



Keywords


ATMOSPHERIC CO2CARBON-DIOXIDE ENRICHMENTCLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTFACE EXPERIMENTFUTURE CO2PROTEIN-CONCENTRATIONWHEAT-GRAIN QUALITY


SDG Areas


Last updated on 2025-02-04 at 00:36