Journal article

Betting on the best case: higher end warming is underrepresented in research


Authors listJehn, FU; Schneider, M; Wang, JR; Kemp, L; Breuer, L

Publication year2021

JournalEnvironmental Research Letters

Volume number16

Issue number8

ISSN1748-9326

Open access statusGold

DOI Linkhttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac13ef

PublisherIOP Publishing


Abstract
We compare the probability of different warming rates to their mentions in IPCC reports through text mining. We find that there is a substantial mismatch between likely warming rates and research coverage. 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C scenarios are substantially overrepresented. More likely higher end warming scenarios of 3 degrees C and above, despite potential catastrophic impacts, are severely neglected.



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Citation Styles

Harvard Citation styleJehn, F., Schneider, M., Wang, J., Kemp, L. and Breuer, L. (2021) Betting on the best case: higher end warming is underrepresented in research, Environmental Research Letters, 16(8), Article 084036. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac13ef

APA Citation styleJehn, F., Schneider, M., Wang, J., Kemp, L., & Breuer, L. (2021). Betting on the best case: higher end warming is underrepresented in research. Environmental Research Letters. 16(8), Article 084036. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac13ef



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Last updated on 2025-10-06 at 11:28