Working paper/research report

Publication year: 2023

URL: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/278496

Title of series: MAGKS Joint discussion paper series in economics

Number in series: 2023, 12

Abstract: 

Most meetings of the Governing Council of the ECB take place intra muros at the ECB's premises in Frankfurt. Some meetings, however, are held extra muros, i.e. outside Frankfurt, hosted by one of the national central banks. This paper uses high-frequency surprises from meeting days to show that the standard deviation of surprises is higher when the ECB meets intra muros. This difference is mostly due to larger timing, forward guidance and QE surprises when meeting in Frankfurt. We show that the transmission of policy surprises to longer-term interest rates is significantly weaker when meeting extra muros. In addition, when the meeting takes place extra muros, the wording of the ECB communication during the press conference is significantly more similar to the preceding meeting. The results suggest that the important decisions are taken in Frankfurt and that the ECB avoids large changes to the policy path when meeting extra muros. The difference across meeting types has consequences for the macroeconomic impact of monetary policy.

Harvard Citation style: Kandemir, S. and Tillmann, P. (2023) Not all ECB meetings are created equal. (MAGKS Joint discussion paper series in economics, 2023, 12). Marburg: Philipps-University Marburg, School of Business and Economics. https://hdl.handle.net/10419/278496

APA Citation style: Kandemir, S., & Tillmann, P. (2023). Not all ECB meetings are created equal. (MAGKS Joint discussion paper series in economics, 2023, 12). Philipps-University Marburg, School of Business and Economics. https://hdl.handle.net/10419/278496