Journalartikel
Autorenliste: Ahrens, R; Reitz, S
Jahr der Veröffentlichung: 2005
Seiten: 65-82
Zeitschrift: Journal of Evolutionary Economics
Bandnummer: 15
Heftnummer: 1
ISSN: 0936-9937
eISSN: 1432-1386
DOI Link: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00191-004-0206-z
Verlag: Springer
Abstract:
In this study a regime-switching approach is applied to estimate the chartist and fundamentalist (cIf) exchange rate model originally proposed by Frankel and Froot (1986). The cIf model is tested against alternative regime-switching specifications applying likelihood ratio tests. Nested atheoretical models like the popular segmented trends model suggested by Engel and Hamilton (1990) are rejected in favour of the multi-agent model. Our findings turned out to be relatively robust when assessing the models' sub-sample estimates and out-of-sample performance.
Zitierstile
Harvard-Zitierstil: Ahrens, R. and Reitz, S. (2005) Heterogeneous expectations in the foreign exchange market - Evidence from daily DM/US Dollar exchange rates, Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 15(1), pp. 65-82. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00191-004-0206-z
APA-Zitierstil: Ahrens, R., & Reitz, S. (2005). Heterogeneous expectations in the foreign exchange market - Evidence from daily DM/US Dollar exchange rates. Journal of Evolutionary Economics. 15(1), 65-82. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00191-004-0206-z
Schlagwörter
CHAOS; exchange rates; FORECAST; Markov regime-switching; multi agent models; PARITY